See which team is the favorite to win and cover the spread in this week 12 NCAAF Liberty vs UMass preview.

Check out our free preview and pick for this week 12 college football matchup in Lynchburg between UMass and Liberty. Check out our pick for the winner and spread in this NCAA preseason game.

• The defense of UMass allows 145th few points.
• In terms of throwing yards, the Liberty Flames rank 75th.

Preview: Liberty vs. UMass

Williams Stadium in Virginia will host kickoff for this Week 12 encounter between the Minutemen and Flames at 1:00 ET. ESPN+ will provide the broadcast coverage of this match between LIBERTY and UMASS.The Flames are 27.5 point favorites to win this non-conference matchup. Do they have the best spread option, or are the Minutemen a better deal? Find out more by reading on.

An Overview of the UMass vs. Liberty Matchup

• Teams: Liberty Flames vs. UMass Minutemen
• Where: Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, Virginia
• Date: November 18, Saturday

UMass Preview: Can the Huskies Win Back After a Setback?

UMass has a 3–7 overall record going into this matchup. They defeated Merrimack College 31–21 in their most recent encounter. The Minutemen had been the underdog in seven games going into this week’s game against Liberty, and they had been favored in two of them. They have a 4-5 ATS record going into the match. This season, UMass has a 6-3 over/under record. Their games have totaled 60.9 points on average, with an average over/under of 51.2 points.

The Minutemen passed the ball 20 times in the passing game against Merrimack College for 104 yards and one touchdown. They had three running scores in the end, averaging 7.1 yards per carry on the ground. Taisun Phommachanh, the quarterback, finished with a quarterback rating of 77.92 in the victory over Merrimack College. He completed 9 of 20 passes for 104 yards. He improved his performance by one touchdown as well.

Merrimack College was able to gain 226 yards against UMass on defense. This entails surrendering 131 passing yards and 95 permitted yards on the ground. The UMass defense ranks 145th in terms of points allowed per game coming into this week’s matchup at 37.4 points. Teams have compared to the unit (61st) with an average of 207.5 passing yards per game thus far. 158th in college football, they are giving up 210.2 running yards on the ground.

Liberty Preview: Is Liberty Able to Restart?

With one game remaining against UMass this week, the Liberty Flames maintain their perfect 10-0 record. They triumphed 38–10 over Old Dominion in their most recent match. Liberty is 7-1 against the spread this season despite being favored in every game they have played. The squad had a +18.3 average scoring margin going into the match. The average over/under line for Liberty’s matches after ten games is 56.3 points. With an average score of 59.7 points across all of their games, OU has a 5-3 record.

Against Old Dominion, the Flames completed 24 pass attempts, gaining 225 yards and three touchdowns. They produced two rushing scores with an average of 5.1 yards per carry in the running game. Kaidon Salter, the quarterback, gained 41 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns during their latest victory. He completed 59% of his passes for 225 yards in the passing game, good for a passer rating of 114.58.

The Flames defense played a great game against Old Dominion, allowing just 10 points on 280 yards allowed. With 161 yards, Old Dominion’s passing game came to an end. Liberty surrendered 2.9 yards per attempt up front. The Liberty defense ranked 76th in the nation in points allowed going into their game against UMass, allowing 20.7 points per contest. They are now 100th in the nation in passing yards per game allowed by opponents, averaging 233 yards per game. Their defense of the run allows 114.4 running yards, good for 35th place in college football.

Liberty vs. UMass Betting Trends & Analysis

In the most recent match between the two teams, Liberty defeated UMass 42–24. With 49 attempts, the Flames ran for 194 yards as they won. Conversely, the Minutemen completed 145 yards of running and 88 yards of throwing.

The current lines do not significantly differ from the opening figures, and the point spread has stayed rather stable. Right now, UMass is at +27.5 (-112), while Liberty is favored by 27.5 (-110). Liberty is now assigned a 99% chance of winning and a moneyline payout of -8857 based on the current moneyline odds. By comparison, the Minutemen have a moneyline of +1628 and an anticipated win probability of 6%.

Major Trends in Betting

• When examining UMass’s last three away games, they have a 2-1 record against the spread.
• Over the past ten games, Liberty’s home ATS record is 8-2.
• Liberty has a 9-1 ATS record in the 10 most recent instances in which they were the underdog.
• UMass has been favored eight of the last ten times, and they are 4-6 against the spread.

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